You are watching: How many superbowls have gone to overtime
The odds that Super key 54 going come overtime were +1000 in ~ DraftKings Sportsbook together of Sunday afternoon.Before the Chiefs and 49ers kicked off, Evan Abrams examined the background and number of betting "yes" top top the Super bowl OT prop bet.
During Wild card weekend, 2 of the 4 games visited overtime. Since then, the four Divisional round games and two Conference Championship games finished in regulation.
So what are the odds we get another overtime video game in Miami? Let’s take it a look in ~ the history of overtime and its correlation come the playoffs and the supervisor Bowl.
History of Overtime
Only one of the previous 53 at sight Bowls have actually gone to overtime: when the Patriots trailed the Falcons, 28-3, in Super bowl 51 late in the third quarter then scored 25 unanswered point out — consisting of a game-tying touchdown and also two-point switch to force overtime.
Tom Brady and also the Patriots won the coin toss and also drove under the field, without even facing a 3rd down. Climate James White score the game-winning touchdown to finish the greatest comeback in Super key history.
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Six of the 53 at sight Bowls have actually finished v a margin of 3 points, three finished through a margin of seven and also one finished through a margin the eight. Eight the those collective 10 games featured a minute at the end of the game when overtime was feasible given the margin, but it took until the 2016 season for it come occur.
The Patriots have actually been affiliated in the past 5 Super Bowls that can have gone (or go go) to overtime: 36, 38, 39, 42 and also 51.
The Odds Behind Overtime
The odds the there will be overtime in Super bowl 54 are +1000, and -2500 the there won’t be. Therefore if you wagered $100 on an overtime period, you’d success $1,000 and return $1,100 in total.
Eliminating the vig from the odds itself, +1000 equates to approximately a 9% opportunity to cash.
With overtime only arising once in the super Bowl’s 53-year history, let’s expand this lens to the continuous season and also playoffs.
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The mathematics Behind Overtime
Overtime occurring just once in 53 supervisor Bowls is good for a 1.9% rate, while the 306 times overtime has actually happened in the 2,560 regular-season games over the previous decade is good for a 12% rate.
With such a huge gap between the percentage of gamings to walk to overtime in the Super bowl vs. Continual season, the obvious next great is the playoffs. The gamings are tighter, the groups are far better and there’s about theory a far better chance because that an extra period.
Ten that the 109 playoff games over the previous decade have actually gone come overtime, an excellent for a 9.2% rate — a almost 3% decrease indigenous the consistent season.
Let’s do a rapid recap…12% of regular-season games go to overtime, which have to equate to around a +730 bet.9.2% playoff gamings go to overtime, which must equate to about a +1000 or 10-1 bet.1.9% of at sight Bowls have gone come overtime, which have to equate to around a 50-1 long shot (+5000).
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If you average out the constant season pct and the playoff pct (12% and 9.2%), the 10.6% average, which would certainly equate to around an +850 gambling is right in line with the market, i beg your pardon is +1000.